| Backlog
Total contractual backlog for Military Aircraft and Missile
Systems was $21.1 billion at December 31, 2002, $17.6 billion
at December 31, 2001 and $17.1 billion at December 31, 2000.
Military Aircraft and Missiles Systems contractual backlog
increased by 20% in 2002 compared to 2001. The increase in
2002 compared to 2001 is primarily attributed to the capture
of several key international awards including the Korean F-15
Eagle contract and the Italian 767 Tanker contract. Backlog
also increased due to rate increases on several domestic programs
in low rate initial production including V-22 Osprey and the
F/A-22 Raptor. The C-17 Globemaster program maintained consistent
backlog as new orders replaced sales on the existing production
contracts. The program is well positioned for continued sales
well into this decade. The F/A-18E/F Super Hornet program
backlog increased moderately as the customer continues to
increase production rate. The JDAM program backlog also increased
moderately with additional orders from both the Navy and Air
Force. Aerospace Support orders continued to increase this
past year.
Business Environment and Trends
Overview The
U.S. Department of Defense (DoD), represents nearly 50% of
the world’s defense budget, and remains the principal customer
of the Military Aircraft and Missile Systems business unit.
Several trends are emerging that are shaping customer behavior
in this market. U.S. military force structure is shrinking,
its platforms are aging, and the tempo of operations and engagements
worldwide remains high. The United States’ current military
activity demonstrates the value of systems solutions that
allow all systems to communicate with each other, to operate
over longer ranges, are unmanned and provide the advantages
of precision, persistence and selective engagement. These
factors are driving the U.S. DoD, along with militaries worldwide,
to focus on ways to transform their forces and the way they
operate.
Military Transformation
The transformation in forces is evidenced by a trend toward
smaller, but more capable and more technologically advanced
force structures. The transformation in acquisition is evidenced
by an increasing trend toward spiral development programs,
cooperative international development programs and a demonstrated
willingness to explore new forms of acquisition and ownership
including the lease of military support aircraft.
Institutions and events continue to shape the defense industrial
environment. From an institutional perspective, the establishment
of the Homeland Defense and U.S. Northern Command are creating
new organizations with responsibilities for national airspace
control, coastal protection and civil support. The creation
of the U.S. Strategic Command is consolidating responsibilities
for global strike, integrated missile defense, information
operations, command, control, communications and computers,
and intelligence, surveillance and reconnaisance into a single
organization. Events like Operation Enduring Freedom and the
continuing war on global terrorism reaffirms the need for
the rapid projection of decisive combat power around the world
and emphasizes the need for new capabilities and solutions
for the warfighter. Toward that end, the DoD is fully committed
to a transformation that will achieve and maintain advantages
through changes in operational concepts, organizational structure
and technologies that significantly improve warfighting capabilities.
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Competitive
environment The global competitive environment continues
to intensify, with increased focus on the U.S. defense market,
the world’s largest and most attractive. Military Aircraft
and Missile Systems faces strong competition in all market
segments, primarily from Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, EADS and
Northrop Grumman. The financial problems plaguing some domestic
industry competitors appear to be resolved, enabling them
to acquire new assets and compete more vigorously. EADS continues
to strategically build a presence in the U.S. market through
building its North American operations and by partnering with
U.S. defense companies.
Continued industry consolidation and market concentration
was marked by the acquisition of TRW by Northrop Grumman.
Northrop’s position in the UAV, space, systems integration,
and strike markets has been strengthened. However, all prime
contractors continue to partner or serve as major suppliers
to each other on various programs. At the lower tiers, consolidation
persists and select companies have been positioning for larger
roles, especially in the Aerospace Support market.
In addition to leveraging its internal resources and capabilities,
the Company is creating a competitive advantage by developing
global strategic relationships to provide superior value for
its customers, both in the U.S. and abroad.
Summary Events
like nuclear proliferation in North Korea, Operation Enduring
Freedom and the continued war on terrorism, highlight the
fact that our National Security goals are not rhetorical.
There is an immediate and a durable need to maintain strong
U.S. defense capabilities covering a very broad spectrum of
threats and responses. Near-term DoD budgets have increased,
and longer-range forecasts expect DoD budgets to grow faster
than anticipated prior to September 11, 2001. However, with
a softening global economy and anticipated federal budget
tensions, allocations to DoD procurement are unlikely to increase
significantly. This suggests that the DoD will continue to
focus on affordability strategies emphasizing network- centric
operations, long range strike, unmanned air combat and reconnaissance
vehicles, precision guided weapons and continued privatization
of logistics and support activities as a means to improve
overall effectiveness while maintaining control over costs.
The Company’s capabilities and programs are well suited to
provide the military capabilities essential to meet the challenges
facing our nation.
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