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Pilot and technician forecast

Training requirements

To operate and maintain the airplanes that will be added to the fleet over the next 20 years, the world's airlines will need an additional 466,650 trained pilots and 596,500 maintenance personnel. A significant portion of these new hires will be needed to replace pilots and technicians who will leave the workforce through retirement and attrition over the next two decades. The addition of large numbers of new airplanes to the fleet will require more efficient training and delivery methods, including Web-based learning, paperless curriculums, and strategically located training facilities. In addition, to gain the optimum advantage of the innovative features offered on new airplane models such as the 787 Dreamliner, training will have to be tailored to the new technologies available on those airplanes.

Pilot demand

Several years ago, airlines in emerging markets began hiring pilots from other countries to fill the need in their own markets. Although this trend has slowed, airlines--particularly those in Asia--will need to be aggressive in creating their own pool of pilots trained in country to keep up with demand.

The largest growth in pilot populations will be in the Asia Pacific region, with a requirement for 180,600 pilots. Within Asia, China will experience the greatest need for pilots, with an expected requirement for 70,600 pilots. North America will need 97,350 pilots; Europe will need 94,800 pilots; Africa will need 13,200 pilots; the Middle East will need 32,700 pilots; Latin America will need 37,000 pilots; and the CIS will need 11,000 pilots.

Technician demand

The unprecedented fleet growth in emerging markets through 2029 creates a high demand for maintenance personnel. Moreover, new advanced aircraft require new competencies and capabilities. Additional infrastructure will need to be developed, particularly in areas of high growth. To ensure the continued integrity of the system, operators will need innovative approaches to training that are both more relevant and more efficient than current approaches.

The Asia Pacific region will see the greatest growth in maintenance personnel, with a requirement for 220,000 new personnel. Within Asia, China will experience the greatest need, with a requirement for 96,400 maintenance personnel. Europe will need 122,000 new maintenance personnel; North America will need 137,000; Africa and the Middle East will need 59,500 maintenance personnel; Central and South America will need 44,000 maintenance personnel; and the CIS will need 14,000 maintenance personnel.